$ASML
ASML Holding3/10Does he own it?
ASML appears in all 10 tweets only as a reference point or analogy for capex cycles and chokepoint dominance, never as a stated position. No first-person buying, holding, adding, or weight disclosure. He repeatedly argues machine sellers like ASML are inferior to upstream picks because they miss downstream volume ramp, suggesting he prefers others.
His thesis
He treats ASML as the archetypal semiconductor capital-equipment chokepoint and benchmark for the broader AI/semi capex supercycle. He cites strong ASML and TSM earnings as confirmation that semis and capex are booming. However, his actual investing thesis steers away from large equipment makers like ASML toward less-crowded upstream suppliers and materials, arguing machine sellers are hyper-cyclical and fail to capture the downstream volume ramp.
How his view evolved
Consistent throughout: ASML serves as a recurring analogy and capex-cycle bellwether rather than an evolving position. View never shifts toward ownership.
Key points
- Used purely as a benchmark/analogy for semi capex cycles and chokepoints
- Notes its strong earnings confirm a broad semi/AI capex upcycle
- Argues equipment makers like ASML miss downstream volume; prefers upstream names
Derived from a holistic read of his public posts — paraphrased, never quoted. See his actual posts about $ASML on X ↗