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The investment universe of Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)

He front-runs the AI photonics buildout by buying the obscure upstream chokepoints — lasers, substrates and epiwafers — that feed NVDA's and the hyperscalers' optical roadmap.

180
Companies
66
Owned / likely
114
Coverage only
AXTISIVE3105336364516830AAOIEWYIQELPKMUNBISRDDTSOITSEM8147SIVEFSNDKTOWAXFABAEHRARMAVAVCRCLHPS.AINTCRKLBXLUALRIBAMKRIBITLASRLITEMETARPITSM6324AEVAAMSCCOHRCOINFLNCHIMSMRVLVPGGOOGLHOODETORONTOSIMOCPSHCVXLPTHOSSAIROCIFRCRDODPROMSTRNVTS

Each node = a name he owns · size = how central · color = conviction

🔬 Featured deep dive

Sivers Semiconductors — his #1 conviction

A reconstructed #1-conviction bet that Sivers is the undiscovered InP-laser chokepoint of the AI optics supercycle — compelling structural story, but loss-making, dilution-prone and dogged by revenue-quality questions, with a huge 2026 run that already prices in a lot.

Read the deep dive — his timeline, the thesis, the run & the risks →

What he invests in

AI photonics / optical interconnect (CPO)

His dominant theme by a wide margin: the light-source and substrate chokepoints for co-packaged optics and silicon photonics. Span

Memory / NAND-DRAM supercycle

Structural AI-driven memory shortage thesis: DRAM/HBM/NAND price hikes and multi-year prepayments. MU and SNDK are the core longs,

Advanced packaging & semicap chokepoints

Tooling and OSAT bottlenecks for HBM/CPO: glass-core substrate equipment (LPK), burn-in/test (AEHR), metrology (ONTO), OSAT/packag

AI power / grid bottleneck

The 'boring sector about to re-rate' on data-center electricity demand: utilities (XLU), transformers/switchgear (HPS.A), and 800V

Neoclouds

AI cloud capacity plays, expressed as long-short: NBIS as his favored sum-of-parts long versus CRWV and IREN as the structurally w

Defense / drones & space

War-trade exposure on US military escalation: drones (AVAV, OSS, ONDS), directed-energy lasers (LASR), and space (RKLB, SPCX). The

The whole picture →

Highest conviction

Latest note

2026-08-05

Serenity flags $397M Space Force award to Rocket Lab, reinforcing his generational space long

On a quiet day for new calls, Serenity — the stock-picker whose reconstructed portfolio this site tracks — put the spotlight on a single name: Rocket Lab (RKLB).

He drew attention to a fresh $397 million contract awarded to the company by the US Space Force. According to his note, the deal covers building out Rocket Lab's "Flatellite" satellite line and launching them aboard Neutron, the company's medium-lift reusable rocket that is still working toward its debut.

Why it matters to his thesis

Rocket Lab is a launch and space-systems company that builds rockets and satellites — positioned as the most credible listed competitor to the privately held SpaceX. That framing is central to Serenity's case. He treats RKLB as one of his highest-conviction, buy-and-hold positions, sitting outside his dominant AI-photonics theme but ranking, in his own words, alongside Bitcoin as a generational long. His argument rests on a near-limitless space total addressable market that, in his view, justifies premium multiples, plus a steady pipeline of government and defense work.

A large government award speaks directly to that pipeline. Space Force contracts are exactly the kind of institutional, recurring demand he has pointed to as validation, and the Neutron reference is notable because the rocket's commercial and defense revenue potential hinges on it flying successfully. The Flatellite element also broadens the story from pure launch toward owning more of the satellite stack.

For context, Serenity has said he went long around $16 and held through repeated bouts of volatility as institutions accumulated, watching the stock reach all-time highs and win inclusion in the Nasdaq 100. He characterizes the position as a long-term conviction hold rather than a trade.

Today's post did not add a new position or change his stance — it was a reinforcement, using the contract as evidence that the space-buildout thesis he has held for months continues to play out.

This is derived commentary, not investment advice.

All notes →