Serenity flags a catalyst-heavy week: OCP photonics updates, space and Neocloud earnings, robotics IPO
Serenity, the stock-picker whose reconstructed portfolio this site tracks, spent Monday looking ahead rather than trading, laying out a schedule of near-term events he expects to move the corners of the AI supply chain he favors. His overarching approach is to front-run NVIDIA's roadmap by owning the small upstream "chokepoints" — the lasers, substrates and optical parts that the big AI names quietly depend on — so a week thick with photonics catalysts naturally caught his attention.
Photonics in focus. The headline event on his radar is the Open Compute Project's APAC gathering, where he expects co-packaged optics (CPO) players — the technology that puts the optical engine right next to the switch or GPU die to save power and boost bandwidth — to deliver updates. He singled out the presence of AI-chip demand engines NVIDIA and AMD alongside optics specialists, framing the event as a potential catalyst for the optical sector. NVIDIA remains the reference point for his whole framework: he does not own it, but treats its capex as the demand signal that makes his upstream picks scarce. AMD plays a similar role — a chip beneficiary he watches mainly because its move into CPO could pull through the smaller laser suppliers he actually holds.
A packed earnings calendar. Serenity noted several of his tracked names report this week. In space, both AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab were due to report. Rocket Lab, the reusable-rocket company he treats as the main listed rival to SpaceX, is one of his major long-held convictions. AST SpaceMobile — which aims to beam broadband directly to phones from satellites — he watches only from the sidelines, wary of launch-delay risk hitting its forward growth. On Tuesday, Lumentum reports; it is his large-cap photonics holding, a supplier of optical parts tied to Google's TPU program that he uses as the quality benchmark against his riskier small-caps. Mid-week brings Nebius Group, the Netherlands-based AI cloud provider that is his single favorite "Neocloud" — an AI capacity play he values as a sum-of-parts story and considers the best-financed name in its niche thanks to Nvidia backing.
Robotics on deck. Separately, he flagged that subscriptions opened for the Unitree IPO, with a listing expected this month. A strong debut, he suggested, could act as a sentiment catalyst for the broader humanoid and robotics group, citing CCXI as one name that might ride any enthusiasm.
None of Monday's commentary amounted to a fresh buy or sell call; it read as a calendar-setting note ahead of what he described as a busy stretch. The takeaway is a reminder of where his conviction sits — photonics and Neocloud names first, space and robotics as satellites — with several of those holdings facing real tests in the coming days.